Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Local Government Employment Growth
Across Idaho Counties
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of local government employment growth across all of Idaho's 44 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Idaho Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the local government employment growth of Idaho's 44 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
This figure displays the 44 counties of Idaho as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual local government employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the local government employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term local government employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.69%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.69% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.69%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 10 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 26 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 15 counties whose most recent (2022) local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.69%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 21 counties whose local government employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 44 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.69% over 2010-2022 and 1.69% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.69%) and near-term (1.69%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.69%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Idaho average (1.69%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.69%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.69%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.69%) and near-term (1.69%).
   
 
Summary of Idaho's 44 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.69%)
Above
(1.69%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.69%)
5
5
10
Below
(0.69%)
16
10
26
 
21
15
36
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Idaho counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Idaho's average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.69%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Idaho's 44 counties, just 5 (11%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 5 Idaho counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.69%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.69%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 5 (11%) of Idaho's 44 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
This figure shows the distribution of the 10 Idaho counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.69%), while they outpaced Idaho's average near-term (2022 = 1.69%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Idaho's 44 counties, 23% (10) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Idaho:
2010-2022 = 0.69%
2022 = 1.69%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 16 Idaho counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.69%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
36% of Idaho's counties, 16 of 44, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Idaho
Local Government Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
8
0.78
 
15
2.11
16,016
 
2
1.89
 
16
1.83
5,461
 
5
1.21
 
10
2.63
8,479
 
6
1.09
 
7
3.16
816
 
1
1.94
 
6
3.34
2,352
Slipping Counties
 
7
0.92
 
25
1.11
636
 
4
1.23
 
27
0.87
1,045
 
9
0.77
 
33
-1.09
820
 
10
0.72
 
26
1.01
1,000
 
3
1.40
 
31
-0.12
10,181
Gaining Counties
 
12
0.68
 
11
2.57
3,476
 
21
0.10
 
1
11.72
1,315
 
29
-0.40
 
9
2.63
156
 
36
-1.53
 
13
2.33
1,056
 
15
0.43
 
3
4.04
901
 
14
0.44
 
4
3.37
1,440
 
22
0.08
 
5
3.34
2,567
 
24
-0.08
 
14
2.13
958
 
28
-0.24
 
12
2.37
778
 
33
-1.41
 
2
6.62
660
Lagging Counties
 
23
0.01
 
29
0.40
3,287
 
20
0.14
 
21
1.45
1,191
 
16
0.35
 
22
1.41
2,080
 
25
-0.11
 
36
-2.04
865
 
34
-1.45
 
38
-15.95
506
 
26
-0.14
 
23
1.16
1,306
 
32
-1.14
 
17
1.65
430
 
31
-1.12
 
37
-6.67
224
 
19
0.18
 
24
1.16
700
 
18
0.27
 
34
-1.15
516
 
30
-0.49
 
20
1.50
338
 
27
-0.22
 
18
1.62
628
 
17
0.35
 
35
-1.23
644
 
35
-1.50
 
30
0.00
422
 
11
0.68
 
28
0.76
4,218
 
13
0.61
 
32
-0.14
696
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
19
1.58
193
 
U
U
 
S
S
356
 
U
U
 
S
S
87
 
U
U
 
S
S
86
 
U
U
 
8
2.86
1,331
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,364
 
U
U
 
S
S
305
 
U
U
 
S
S
708
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.69
 
1.69
82,594
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.11
 
1.96
14,130,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_520320_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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